Verona vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 5 May, 15:00
Verona
21 Full time
Fiorentina
Verona 2–1 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 30%
Away 43%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1529 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index DLDWL v LLDWW Verona 1.0 · Fiorentina 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1529 vs 1425).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Verona

Green = favours Verona · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VeronaDLDWL1.0 ppg
FiorentinaLLDWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Verona1425
Fiorentina1529
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 33% · 40%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 43%
Machine-learning18% · 36% · 46%

AI match preview

Verona host Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 43% chance of winning, though a draw is marginally more likely than a home victory. The expected goals tally suggests a tight contest with a probable 1-1 scoreline, reflecting a balanced attacking output from both sides. With only a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Verona 2–1 Fiorentina
Dec 2023 Fiorentina 1–0 Verona