Roma vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 5 May, 20:45
Roma
11 Full time
Juventus
Roma 1–1 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 29%
Away 33%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1579 v 1586 Juventus rated higher
Form Index DWLWD v LWDDD Roma 1.6 · Juventus 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1579 vs 1586).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaDWLWD1.6 ppg
JuventusLWDDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1579
Juventus1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 29% · 32%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning45% · 35% · 20%

AI match preview

Roma and Juventus face off in a tightly poised Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 38%, though a draw and an away victory remain close possibilities. Both sides are expected to score, with a 56% probability of BTTS and a balanced expected goal tally of 1.43 for Roma and 1.28 for Juventus, suggesting a competitive encounter likely to produce goals. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, but with over 2.5 goals at just over 50%, fans should anticipate an open game. These projections are statistical in nature—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Roma 1–1 Juventus
Dec 2023 Juventus 1–0 Roma