Salernitana vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 6 May, 18:00
Salernitana
12 Full time
Atalanta
Salernitana 1–2 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (73%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 10%
Draw 17%
Away 73%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 88.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1294 v 1594 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1594 vs 1294).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaLDLLL0.2 ppg
AtalantaWLDWW2 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1294
Atalanta1594
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model13% · 20% · 68%
Power Rating18% · 12% · 70%
Machine-learning2% · 26% · 72%

AI match preview

Salernitana face a tough challenge at home against Atalanta, with the model giving the visitors a strong 73% chance of victory and a confidence score of 88/100. The expected goals tally suggests Atalanta could net around 2.4 goals, while Salernitana may struggle to break through, with a predicted 0-2 scoreline. There’s also a 66% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability both teams will score, highlighting an open contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 2.40

Most likely score

0-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Salernitana 1–2 Atalanta
Dec 2023 Atalanta 4–1 Salernitana