Udinese vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 6 May, 20:45
Udinese
11 Full time
Napoli
Udinese 1–1 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 28%
Away 47%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1424 v 1522 Napoli rated higher
Form Index DLLLD v LWDLD Udinese 0.4 · Napoli 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Udinese v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1522 vs 1424).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseDLLLD0.4 ppg
NapoliLWDLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1424
Napoli1522
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 23% · 63%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning24% · 46% · 30%

AI match preview

Napoli enter this Serie A clash against Udinese as favorites, with a 47% chance of securing an away win according to our model, supported by an expected goals tally more than double that of the hosts (2.08 vs 0.91). A 0-2 scoreline is the most probable outcome, reflecting Napoli's offensive edge and Udinese’s defensive challenges. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just above 50%, this match could offer some attacking action; however, these are statistical projections and all bets should be placed responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 2.08

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Udinese 1–1 Napoli
Sept 2023 Napoli 4–1 Udinese