Napoli vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 11 May, 18:00
Napoli
02 Full time
Bologna
Napoli 0–2 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 30%
Away 30%

💡 Napoli have a slight edge — leaning Napoli, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1521 v 1602 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WDLDD v DDWDD Napoli 1.2 · Bologna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Napoli v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1602 vs 1521).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliWDLDD1.2 ppg
BolognaDDWDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1521
Bologna1602
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 30% · 42%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning29% · 41% · 30%

AI match preview

Napoli hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the model gives the home side a 40% chance of victory, closely followed by a 30% probability for both a draw and an away win, indicating a competitive encounter. Expected goals suggest a tight match with 1.10 for Napoli and 1.38 for Bologna, and the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 45% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate a balanced contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Napoli 0–2 Bologna
Sept 2023 Bologna 0–0 Napoli