Genoa vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 12 May, 15:00
Genoa
21 Full time
Sassuolo
Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 22%
Away 24%

💡 Genoa are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1497 v 1376 Genoa rated higher
Form Index WDLWD v DDLLW Genoa 1.6 · Sassuolo 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1497 vs 1376).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaWDLWD1.6 ppg
SassuoloDDLLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1497
Sassuolo1376
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 24% · 20%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning77% · 15% · 8%

AI match preview

Genoa hold a 54% chance of securing a home win against Sassuolo in this Serie A clash, with the model projecting 2.02 expected goals for the hosts compared to 1.13 for the visitors. Despite the home advantage, a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, reflecting a competitive encounter. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities around 60%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.02 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo
Dec 2023 Sassuolo 1–2 Genoa