Atalanta vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 12 May, 20:45
Atalanta
21 Full time
Roma
Atalanta 2–1 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 24%
Away 24%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1598 v 1577 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LDWWW v WLWDD Atalanta 2.0 · Roma 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1598 vs 1577).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLDWWW2.0 ppg
RomaWLWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1598
Roma1577
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 24% · 17%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning48% · 26% · 26%

AI match preview

Atalanta holds a slight edge with a 51% chance to win against Roma in this Serie A clash, though a draw or away victory both stand at 24%. The model projects nearly two goals for Atalanta and one for Roma, with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline despite the home win preference. Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring are similarly likely at around 56-57%, highlighting an open contest—these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Atalanta 2–1 Roma
Jan 2024 Roma 1–1 Atalanta