Fiorentina vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 13 May, 20:45
Fiorentina
21 Full time
Monza
Fiorentina 2–1 Monza

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 22%
Away 18%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1516 v 1473 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index LDWWL v LDLDD Fiorentina 1.4 · Monza 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1516 vs 1473).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLDWWL1.4 ppg
MonzaLDLDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1516
Monza1473
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 28% · 19%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning59% · 27% · 14%

AI match preview

Fiorentina enters this Serie A clash with a 60% probability of securing a home win against Monza, who have an 18% chance of causing an upset. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.65 for Fiorentina and 0.89 for Monza, suggesting a modest scoring edge but also a notable possibility of a draw, with 1-1 as the most likely scoreline. With under 50% chances for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could be a tightly contested affair; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.89

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Fiorentina 2–1 Monza
Dec 2023 Monza 0–1 Fiorentina