Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 18 May, 18:00
Lecce
02 Full time
Atalanta
Lecce 0–2 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 26%
Away 52%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1607 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WWDDL v DWWWW Lecce 1.6 · Atalanta 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1607 vs 1425).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceWWDDL1.6 ppg
AtalantaDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1425
Atalanta1607
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 27% · 53%
Power Rating28% · 17% · 55%
Machine-learning8% · 32% · 60%

AI match preview

Lecce host Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 52% chance of victory, according to model projections, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 26%. The expected goals tally suggests a slightly higher offensive output from Atalanta (1.74) compared to Lecce (1.02), with the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 stalemate. There is a moderate probability for over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (54%), highlighting potential attacking action in this encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Lecce 0–2 Atalanta
Dec 2023 Atalanta 1–0 Lecce