Monza vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 15:00
Monza
01 Full time
Frosinone
Monza 0–1 Frosinone

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 23%
Away 31%

💡 Monza are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1404 Monza rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Frosinone

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Monza is the stronger side on Power Rating (1465 vs 1404).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monza
Form Index
Frosinone
Goal expectation
Monza
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Frosinone. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaDLDDL0.6 ppg
FrosinoneDDWDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1465
Frosinone1404
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 26% · 20%
Power Rating57% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning68% · 17% · 16%

AI match preview

Monza host Frosinone in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model suggests a moderately open game, with an expected goals tally favoring Monza 1.79 to 1.02 and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Given a 53% probability for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging contest, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Monza 0–1 Frosinone
Jan 2024 Frosinone 2–3 Monza