Roma vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 20:45
Roma
10 Full time
Genoa
Roma 1–0 Genoa

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 20%
Away 16%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1569 v 1503 Roma rated higher
Form Index LWDDL v DLWDW Roma 1.0 · Genoa 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Genoa

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1569 vs 1503).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaLWDDL1.0 ppg
GenoaDLWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1569
Genoa1503
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 27% · 19%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning73% · 16% · 11%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash with a 64% chance of victory, reflecting their stronger expected goals tally of 1.73 compared to Genoa's 0.94. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a closely contested match with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a moderate 50% probability for over 2.5 goals. Both teams scoring is slightly favored at 52%, indicating a balanced offensive effort on both sides. Remember, these projections are statistical in nature—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Roma 1–0 Genoa
Sept 2023 Genoa 4–1 Roma