Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Thu 23 May, 20:45
Cagliari
23 Full time
Fiorentina
Cagliari 2–3 Fiorentina

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 26%
Away 49%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1522 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v WWLWD Cagliari 1.0 · Fiorentina 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1522 vs 1429).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariDLDLW1.0 ppg
FiorentinaWWLWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1429
Fiorentina1522
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 29% · 40%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 41%
Machine-learning20% · 31% · 49%

AI match preview

Cagliari host Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 49% chance of victory, according to statistical models, while a draw is slightly more likely than a home win. The expected goals suggest a tight contest around 1-1, with both teams scoring seen as a 55% probability. With an almost even split on over 2.5 goals, this matchup promises a balanced battle; remember, these projections are probabilistic and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.42

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Cagliari 2–3 Fiorentina
Oct 2023 Fiorentina 3–0 Cagliari