Genoa vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 24 May, 20:45
Genoa
20 Full time
Bologna
Genoa 2–0 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 30%
Away 40%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1496 v 1615 Bologna rated higher
Form Index LWDWL v WDDWD Genoa 1.4 · Bologna 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1615 vs 1496).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaLWDWL1.4 ppg
BolognaWDDWD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1496
Bologna1615
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 32% · 38%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning17% · 37% · 46%

AI match preview

Genoa and Bologna face off in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 40%, though a draw or home victory both hold 30% probability. Expected goals are close, with 1.04 for Genoa and 1.21 for Bologna, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the away edge. With just 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% probability of both teams scoring, this encounter could be a tight, competitive affair—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Genoa 2–0 Bologna
Jan 2024 Bologna 1–1 Genoa