Empoli vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 26 May, 20:45
Empoli
21 Full time
Roma
Empoli 2–1 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 27%
Away 42%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1417 v 1576 Roma rated higher
Form Index WLDLD v WDDLW Empoli 1.0 · Roma 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Empoli v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1576 vs 1417).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliWLDLD1.0 ppg
RomaWDDLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1417
Roma1576
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 30% · 51%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning10% · 35% · 55%

AI match preview

Empoli hosts Roma in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 42% chance of victory, according to model projections, though a draw remains a close possibility at 27%. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game with Roma slightly favored to net 1.46 goals against Empoli’s 0.80, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With only a 39% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance both teams score, this matchup could hinge on tight margins—remember, these are statistical projections and gambling should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 1.46

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Empoli 2–1 Roma
Sept 2023 Roma 7–0 Empoli