Lazio vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 26 May, 20:45
Lazio
11 Full time
Sassuolo
Lazio 1–1 Sassuolo

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 16%
Away 10%

💡 Lazio are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1353 Lazio rated higher
Form Index WWDWD v LLWLL Lazio 2.2 · Sassuolo 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Sassuolo

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1353).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioWWDWD2.2 ppg
SassuoloLLWLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1561
Sassuolo1353
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 25% · 13%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning87% · 10% · 3%

AI match preview

Lazio enters this Serie A clash with a strong 73% probability of securing a home win against Sassuolo, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.85 to 0.72 favoring the hosts. The model highlights a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, reflecting Lazio’s defensive solidity and attacking edge. While the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring sit below 50%, the statistical projections suggest a controlled game with a home victory most likely; remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 0.72

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Lazio 1–1 Sassuolo
Oct 2023 Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio