Genoa vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 12 Jan, 11:30
Genoa
10 Full time
Parma
Genoa 1–0 Parma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 30%
Away 28%

💡 Genoa have a slight edge — leaning Genoa, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1460 v 1452 Genoa rated higher
Form Index DDLWD v LLLWD Genoa 1.2 · Parma 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1460 vs 1452).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDDLWD1.2 ppg
ParmaLLLWD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1460
Parma1452
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 30% · 35%
Power Rating48% · 20% · 32%
Machine-learning22% · 45% · 34%

AI match preview

Genoa and Parma are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 42% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 30% and 28% respectively. Both teams are projected to score around 1.25 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the home win pick. With just under half of the simulations suggesting over 2.5 goals and a slim majority expecting both teams to score, fans should anticipate a competitive match—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

GenoaParma
3.8 Corners 4.1
1.9 Cards 1.9
12.4 Fouls 10.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Genoa 1–0 Parma
Nov 2024 Parma 0–1 Genoa