Bologna vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 12 Jan, 17:00
Bologna
22 Full time
Roma
Bologna 2–2 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1540 v 1497 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WDWWL v WLWDW Bologna 2.0 · Roma 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1540 vs 1497).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWDWWL2.0 ppg
RomaWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1540
Roma1497
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 30% · 13%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning52% · 21% · 27%

AI match preview

Bologna host Roma in a Serie A clash where the model favors a narrow home win, with a 45% probability and an expected scoreline of 1-0. The forecast suggests a low-scoring encounter, with an expected goals tally of 1.42 for Bologna and 0.56 for Roma, and just a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams scoring is also relatively unlikely at 34%, indicating a tight, tactical battle. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.56

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

BolognaRoma
4.6 Corners 4.7
2.0 Cards 2.1
13.1 Fouls 12.1

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Bologna 2–2 Roma
Nov 2024 Roma 2–3 Bologna