Atalanta vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Tue 14 Jan, 19:45
Atalanta
11 Full time
Juventus
Atalanta 1–1 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 28%
Away 25%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1628 v 1575 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WWWDD v DDWDD Atalanta 2.2 · Juventus 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1628 vs 1575).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaWWWDD2.2 ppg
JuventusDDWDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1628
Juventus1575
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 24% · 36%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning52% · 37% · 12%

AI match preview

Atalanta host Juventus in a tightly contested Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win with a 47% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. Both teams are projected to score close to 1.8 goals each, suggesting an evenly matched game with a likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 70% probability for both teams to score, fans can expect an engaging offensive battle; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.74

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

AtalantaJuventus
5.4 Corners 5.2
1.8 Cards 1.9
12.0 Fouls 12.5

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Juventus 0–4 Atalanta
Jan 2025 Atalanta 1–1 Juventus