Bologna vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 18 Jan, 14:00
Bologna
31 Full time
Monza
Bologna 3–1 Monza

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 25%
Away 16%

💡 Bologna are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1542 v 1418 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WWLDD v LLLLW Bologna 1.6 · Monza 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1542 vs 1418).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWWLDD1.6 ppg
MonzaLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1542
Monza1418
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 32% · 22%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning56% · 35% · 9%

AI match preview

Bologna hosts Monza in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a 58% chance of victory, supported by a moderate confidence level of 67.5/100. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.31 for Bologna and 0.81 for Monza, suggesting a tight 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With only a 36% probability for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, this encounter may lean towards a low-scoring affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.81

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

BolognaMonza
4.6 Corners 4.0
2.0 Cards 2.4
13.1 Fouls 12.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Bologna 3–1 Monza
Sept 2024 Monza 1–2 Bologna