Fiorentina vs Torino Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 11:30
Fiorentina
11 Full time
Torino
Fiorentina 1–1 Torino

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 23%
Away 21%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1537 v 1465 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v WLDDD Fiorentina 0.2 · Torino 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1537 vs 1465).
  • Torino is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Torino
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Torino. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLLDLL0.2 ppg
TorinoWLDDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1537
Torino1465
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 26% · 25%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning66% · 16% · 19%

AI match preview

Fiorentina host Torino in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a 56% chance of victory, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.79 to 1.24. Despite Fiorentina's edge, the model suggests a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline, with both teams scoring in 61% of simulations and a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals. These projections highlight competitive balance, so enjoy the match and remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

FiorentinaTorino
4.5 Corners 4.2
2.2 Cards 2.0
12.0 Fouls 13.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Fiorentina 1–1 Torino
Nov 2024 Torino 0–1 Fiorentina