Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 14:00
Cagliari
41 Full time
Lecce
Cagliari 4–1 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 28%
Away 27%

💡 Cagliari are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1433 v 1437 Lecce rated higher
Form Index LLLWD v WLLDW Cagliari 0.8 · Lecce 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1433 vs 1437).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLLLWD0.8 ppg
LecceWLLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1433
Lecce1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 35% · 30%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 32%
Machine-learning43% · 25% · 32%

AI match preview

Cagliari and Lecce are set for a tight Serie A clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 45%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. Expected goals are low on both sides, suggesting a cautious game with a most likely scoreline of 0-0 and under 2.5 goals being the probable outcome. With both teams showing modest attacking threat, BTTS stands at just 39%, indicating a match that could hinge on defensive solidity—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 0.89

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

CagliariLecce
4.4 Corners 4.4
2.1 Cards 2.0
13.1 Fouls 12.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Cagliari 4–1 Lecce
Aug 2024 Lecce 1–0 Cagliari