Como vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 25 Jan, 14:00
Como
12 Full time
Atalanta
Como 1–2 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 27%
Away 51%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1468 v 1612 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LWDLW v WDDDL Como 1.4 · Atalanta 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1612 vs 1468).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Como
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Como

Green = favours Como · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ComoLWDLW1.4 ppg
AtalantaWDDDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Como1468
Atalanta1612
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 26% · 54%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning8% · 37% · 55%

AI match preview

Como host Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 51% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a 27% likelihood of a draw and just 22% for a home win. Expected goals favor Atalanta slightly at 1.85 compared to Como’s 1.10, suggesting a competitive match with a most probable 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score each sitting around 57-58%, this fixture promises an intriguing contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.85

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

ComoAtalanta
4.4 Corners 5.4
2.3 Cards 1.8
13.2 Fouls 12.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Como 1–2 Atalanta
Sept 2024 Atalanta 2–3 Como