Venezia vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 27 Jan, 17:30
Venezia
11 Full time
Verona
Venezia 1–1 Verona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Venezia have a slight edge — leaning Venezia, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1419 v 1399 Venezia rated higher
Form Index WLDLD v LWDLL Venezia 1.0 · Verona 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1419 vs 1399).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Venezia
Form Index
Venezia
Goal expectation
Venezia
Home advantage
Venezia

Green = favours Venezia · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VeneziaWLDLD1.0 ppg
VeronaLWDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Venezia1419
Verona1399
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 27% · 28%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning28% · 35% · 36%

AI match preview

Venezia and Verona are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 42% probability of a win. Expected goals suggest a competitive match with Venezia scoring 1.68 and Verona 1.29 on average, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. The game also leans towards being open, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% probability both teams will score; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.29

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 38+ matches)

VeneziaVerona
3.8 Corners 3.9
2.1 Cards 2.6
13.2 Fouls 15.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Venezia 1–1 Verona
Oct 2024 Verona 2–1 Venezia