Genoa vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 27 Jan, 19:45
Genoa
20 Full time
Monza
Genoa 2–0 Monza

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 32%
Away 27%

💡 Genoa have a slight edge — leaning Genoa, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1457 v 1410 Genoa rated higher
Form Index LWDWL v LLLWL Genoa 1.4 · Monza 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1457 vs 1410).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Monza
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaLWDWL1.4 ppg
MonzaLLLWL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1457
Monza1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 32% · 36%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning30% · 51% · 19%

AI match preview

Genoa and Monza are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 40%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 32%. Both teams are projected to score around one goal each, suggesting a balanced encounter likely to end 1-1, with less than 40% chance of breaking the 2.5 goals mark. With a 47% probability for both teams to score, expect a competitive match where defensive resilience could be key; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

GenoaMonza
3.8 Corners 4.0
1.9 Cards 2.4
12.4 Fouls 12.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Genoa 2–0 Monza
Aug 2024 Monza 0–1 Genoa