Parma vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Fri 31 Jan, 19:45
Parma
13 Full time
Lecce
Parma 1–3 Lecce

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 25%
Away 27%

💡 Parma are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1410 Parma rated higher
Form Index WDLDL v LDWLL Parma 1.0 · Lecce 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1434 vs 1410).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Parma
Form Index
Parma
Goal expectation
Parma
Home advantage
Parma

Green = favours Parma · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ParmaWDLDL1.0 ppg
LecceLDWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Parma1434
Lecce1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 26% · 17%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning59% · 19% · 22%

AI match preview

Parma holds a slight advantage with a 47% chance of victory against Lecce, who are pegged at 27%, while a draw stands at 25%. The expected goals suggest a match leaning toward Parma's favor (1.78 expected goals) but with Lecce also likely to find the net (0.89), aligning with the most probable 1-1 scoreline. With a 50% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this Serie A clash promises a balanced contest—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.78 – 0.89

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

ParmaLecce
4.1 Corners 4.4
1.9 Cards 2.0
10.8 Fouls 12.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Parma 1–3 Lecce
Sept 2024 Lecce 2–2 Parma