Monza vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 1 Feb, 14:00
Monza
01 Full time
Verona
Monza 0–1 Verona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 30%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1399 v 1402 Verona rated higher
Form Index LLWLL v WDLLD Monza 0.6 · Verona 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1399 vs 1402).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaLLWLL0.6 ppg
VeronaWDLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1399
Verona1402
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 28% · 36%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning24% · 34% · 42%

AI match preview

Monza and Verona face off in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model suggesting a near-even probability between a home win (37%) and an away victory (33%), while a draw stands at 30%. The expected goals are almost identical (1.40 for Monza and 1.39 for Verona), pointing towards a balanced encounter likely to produce a 1-1 scoreline. With a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% probability of both teams scoring, this match could see goal-scoring opportunities at both ends; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.39

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 76+ matches)

MonzaVerona
4.0 Corners 3.9
2.4 Cards 2.6
12.8 Fouls 15.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Monza 0–1 Verona
Oct 2024 Verona 0–3 Monza