Roma vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 2 Feb, 19:45
Roma
11 Full time
Napoli
Roma 1–1 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 27%
Away 46%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 50.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1524 v 1648 Napoli rated higher
Form Index DWDWW v WWWWW Roma 2.2 · Napoli 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1648 vs 1524).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 2.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaDWDWW2.2 ppg
NapoliWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1524
Napoli1648
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 30% · 40%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning21% · 20% · 59%

AI match preview

Roma host Napoli in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving the visitors a 46% chance to win and a 28% probability for a home victory. The expected goals suggest a tight scoring affair around 1-1, which is also the most likely scoreline, while just over half of the projections favor both teams finding the net. With a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive match, but remember these are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.39

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

RomaNapoli
4.7 Corners 5.8
2.1 Cards 1.6
12.1 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Roma 1–1 Napoli
Nov 2024 Napoli 1–0 Roma