Cagliari vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 3 Feb, 19:45
Cagliari
12 Full time
Lazio
Cagliari 1–2 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 30%
Away 47%

💡 Lazio are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 51.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1437 v 1539 Lazio rated higher
Form Index LWDWL v DLDWL Cagliari 1.4 · Lazio 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1539 vs 1437).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Cagliari
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLWDWL1.4 ppg
LazioDLDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1437
Lazio1539
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 24% · 57%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning10% · 50% · 40%

AI match preview

Cagliari host Lazio in a Serie A clash where the model favors an away win at 47%, though a draw is also a strong possibility at 30%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.07 for Cagliari and 1.96 for Lazio, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome despite the away win prediction. With a 58% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could see an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.96

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

CagliariLazio
4.4 Corners 5.0
2.1 Cards 2.6
13.1 Fouls 11.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Cagliari 1–2 Lazio
Nov 2024 Lazio 2–1 Cagliari