Cagliari vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 9 Feb, 14:00
Cagliari
21 Full time
Parma
Cagliari 2–1 Parma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 29%
Away 27%

💡 Cagliari have a slight edge — leaning Cagliari, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1427 v 1413 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index WDWLL v DLDLL Cagliari 1.4 · Parma 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1427 vs 1413).
  • Cagliari is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cagliari
Form Index
Cagliari
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariWDWLL1.4 ppg
ParmaDLDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1427
Parma1413
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 29% · 34%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning26% · 49% · 25%

AI match preview

Cagliari and Parma are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 44% probability, while a draw and away win stand at 29% and 27% respectively. The expected goals are nearly even, 1.42 for Cagliari and 1.34 for Parma, suggesting a closely fought match likely to produce goals, with a 58% chance both teams score and a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, but as with all statistical projections, outcomes can vary—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Cagliari 2–1 Parma
Sept 2024 Parma 2–3 Cagliari