Lazio vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 9 Feb, 14:00
Lazio
51 Full time
Monza
Lazio 5–1 Monza

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 19%
Away 12%

💡 Lazio are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 83.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 83.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1386 Lazio rated higher
Form Index LDWLW v LWLLL Lazio 1.4 · Monza 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Monza

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1386).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioLDWLW1.4 ppg
MonzaLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1549
Monza1386
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 25% · 20%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning72% · 23% · 6%

AI match preview

Lazio enters this Serie A clash with Monza as clear favorites, holding a 69% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.87 to 1.07. Despite the strong home win projection, the model suggests a closely contested match with the most likely scoreline at 1-1, reflecting a competitive edge from both sides. With a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance both teams scoring, this encounter promises attacking intent from each team; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Lazio 5–1 Monza
Nov 2024 Monza 0–1 Lazio