Napoli vs Udinese Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 9 Feb, 19:45
Napoli
11 Full time
Udinese
Napoli 1–1 Udinese

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 23%
Away 12%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1646 v 1455 Napoli rated higher
Form Index WWWWD v DDLLW Napoli 2.6 · Udinese 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Napoli v Udinese

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1646 vs 1455).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Udinese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliWWWWD2.6 ppg
UdineseDDLLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1646
Udinese1455
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 25% · 13%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning56% · 36% · 7%

AI match preview

Napoli are favored to secure a home win against Udinese with a 65% probability, reflecting a strong confidence level of 76/100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.78 for Napoli and 0.72 for Udinese, suggesting a tight contest likely decided by a narrow margin, with 1-0 as the most probable scoreline. While under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring appear slightly more likely, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.78 – 0.72

Most likely score

1-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Napoli 1–1 Udinese
Dec 2024 Udinese 1–3 Napoli