Atalanta vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 15 Feb, 14:00
Atalanta
00 Full time
Cagliari
Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 18%
Away 14%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 82.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 82.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1628 v 1435 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index DLWDW v DWLLW Atalanta 1.6 · Cagliari 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Cagliari

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1628 vs 1435).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaDLWDW1.6 ppg
CagliariDWLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1628
Cagliari1435
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 19% · 14%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning85% · 10% · 5%

AI match preview

Atalanta enter this Serie A clash with a strong 69% probability of securing a home win against Cagliari, who are projected to score just over one goal on average. The model suggests an engaging encounter with a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% likelihood that both teams will find the net, pointing towards a competitive 2-1 scoreline. These projections are statistical estimates and should be considered carefully; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.56 – 1.15

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari
Dec 2024 Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta