Parma vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 16 Feb, 17:00
Parma
01 Full time
Roma
Parma 0–1 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 24%
Away 48%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1405 v 1535 Roma rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v DWWDW Parma 0.2 · Roma 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Parma v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1535 vs 1405).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Parma
Home advantage
Parma

Green = favours Parma · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ParmaLDLLL0.2 ppg
RomaDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Parma1405
Roma1535
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 28% · 32%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning22% · 8% · 70%

AI match preview

Parma welcome Roma in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 48% chance of victory, according to model projections, while the home side and draw outcomes stand at 28% and 24%, respectively. Despite Roma's slight edge, the expected goals are closely matched at 1.48 for Parma and 1.32 for Roma, suggesting a tightly contested game with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With a 53% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance of both teams scoring, this encounter promises action on both ends of the pitch—remember, these are statistical estimates and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Parma 0–1 Roma
Dec 2024 Roma 5–0 Parma