Genoa vs Venezia Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 17 Feb, 19:45
Genoa
20 Full time
Venezia
Genoa 2–0 Venezia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 28%
Away 21%

💡 Genoa are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1399 Genoa rated higher
Form Index WLWLD v LDDLL Genoa 1.4 · Venezia 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Venezia

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1465 vs 1399).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Venezia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaWLWLD1.4 ppg
VeneziaLDDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1465
Venezia1399
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 30% · 23%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning39% · 41% · 20%

AI match preview

Genoa hosts Venezia in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a 50% chance of victory, according to the model, with a confidence level of 56.3 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a moderately tight contest, with Genoa slightly ahead at 1.45 to Venezia's 0.95, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline. While under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring are nearly evenly matched probabilities, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Genoa 2–0 Venezia
Sept 2024 Venezia 2–0 Genoa