Verona vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 23 Feb, 14:00
Verona
10 Full time
Fiorentina
Verona 1–0 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 28%
Away 51%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1396 v 1543 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index LDWLL v WWWLL Verona 0.8 · Fiorentina 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Verona v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1543 vs 1396).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.7 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Verona

Green = favours Verona · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VeronaLDWLL0.8 ppg
FiorentinaWWWLL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Verona1396
Fiorentina1543
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model7% · 15% · 77%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 50%
Machine-learning9% · 47% · 44%

AI match preview

Verona hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 51% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a 58/100 confidence level. Fiorentina are expected to dominate the scoring with an anticipated 2.72 goals compared to Verona’s 0.78, making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. With a 68% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring at a 51% rate, this match could offer attacking football, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.78 – 2.72

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Verona 1–0 Fiorentina
Nov 2024 Fiorentina 3–1 Verona