Empoli vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 23 Feb, 17:00
Empoli
05 Full time
Atalanta
Empoli 0–5 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (67%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 13%
Draw 20%
Away 67%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 79.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1402 v 1621 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v LWDWD Empoli 0.2 · Atalanta 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1621 vs 1402).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliLDLLL0.2 ppg
AtalantaLWDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1402
Atalanta1621
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model7% · 24% · 69%
Power Rating25% · 13% · 62%
Machine-learning3% · 18% · 79%

AI match preview

Empoli hosts Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a strong statistical edge, with a 67% probability of an away win and a confidence rating near 80%. The model forecasts a low-scoring affair, projecting 0.39 expected goals for Empoli and 1.69 for Atalanta, with 0-1 as the most likely scoreline. Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring appear less probable, so consider these projections as part of a broader analysis and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.39 – 1.69

Most likely score

0-1

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 27%

No 73%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Empoli 0–5 Atalanta
Dec 2024 Atalanta 3–2 Empoli