Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Fri 28 Feb, 19:45
Fiorentina
10 Full time
Lecce
Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 24%
Away 18%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1530 v 1421 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index WWLLL v LWDDL Fiorentina 1.2 · Lecce 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1530 vs 1421).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWWLLL1.2 ppg
LecceLWDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1530
Lecce1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 26% · 14%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning71% · 17% · 12%

AI match preview

Fiorentina enter this Serie A clash with a 58% chance of securing a home win against Lecce, supported by a model confidence of 67.3 out of 100. The expected goals suggest Fiorentina to edge the match 1.77 to 0.74, making a 1-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. With under 2.5 goals and BTTS both around 55%, this game could lean towards a tight, low-scoring affair—remember, these projections are statistical and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.77 – 0.74

Most likely score

1-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce
Oct 2024 Lecce 0–6 Fiorentina