Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 2 Mar, 14:00
Bologna
21 Full time
Cagliari
Bologna 2–1 Cagliari

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 25%
Away 17%

💡 Bologna are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1551 v 1435 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WDWLW v LLWDL Bologna 2.0 · Cagliari 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Cagliari

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1551 vs 1435).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWDWLW2.0 ppg
CagliariLLWDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1551
Cagliari1435
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 27% · 16%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning60% · 30% · 11%

AI match preview

Bologna enter this Serie A clash with a 58% chance to secure a home win against Cagliari, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.66 to 0.77. The model suggests a tight contest, with a 1-0 scoreline the most probable outcome, while the likelihood of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals remains below 50%. These projections reflect statistical probabilities and should be considered as part of a responsible approach to betting (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.77

Most likely score

1-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Bologna 2–1 Cagliari
Oct 2024 Cagliari 0–2 Bologna