Genoa vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 2 Mar, 14:00
Genoa
11 Full time
Empoli
Genoa 1–1 Empoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 30%
Away 22%

💡 Genoa are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1470 v 1389 Genoa rated higher
Form Index WLDWL v DLLLL Genoa 1.4 · Empoli 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Empoli

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1470 vs 1389).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaWLDWL1.4 ppg
EmpoliDLLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1470
Empoli1389
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 29% · 32%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning33% · 53% · 15%

AI match preview

Genoa host Empoli in a tightly contested Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win with a 47% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. The expected goals are close, 1.44 for Genoa and 1.28 for Empoli, suggesting a competitive match likely to see both teams finding the net, supported by a 57% chance of BTTS. With an over 2.5 goals probability just over 50%, fans can anticipate a balanced encounter, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.28

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Genoa 1–1 Empoli
Dec 2024 Empoli 1–2 Genoa