Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Fri 7 Mar, 19:45
Cagliari
11 Full time
Genoa
Cagliari 1–1 Genoa

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 31%
Away 32%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1466 Genoa rated higher
Form Index LWDLL v LDWLD Cagliari 0.8 · Genoa 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1429 vs 1466).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLWDLL0.8 ppg
GenoaLDWLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1429
Genoa1466
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 33% · 33%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning35% · 28% · 37%

AI match preview

Cagliari and Genoa are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 31% probability and a predicted 1-1 scoreline. Both sides are expected to score, reflected in a 46% chance of both teams finding the net, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals remains modest at 38%. These projections highlight a balanced encounter, but remember, football can be unpredictable—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Cagliari 1–1 Genoa
Nov 2024 Genoa 2–2 Cagliari