Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 9 Mar, 14:00
Napoli
21 Full time
Fiorentina
Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 25%
Away 20%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1623 v 1536 Napoli rated higher
Form Index DDDLD v WLLLW Napoli 0.8 · Fiorentina 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Napoli v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1623 vs 1536).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliDDDLD0.8 ppg
FiorentinaWLLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1623
Fiorentina1536
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 34% · 27%
Power Rating61% · 13% · 26%
Machine-learning46% · 32% · 22%

AI match preview

Napoli enters this Serie A clash with Fiorentina as slight favorites, holding a 55% probability of securing a home win, while the model assigns a 25% chance to a draw and 20% to an away victory. The expected goals suggest a tight encounter with Napoli edging 1.11 to 0.90, yet intriguingly, the most likely score predicted is a goalless draw. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% probability of both teams scoring, this match could lean towards a cautious battle; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.11 – 0.90

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina
Jan 2025 Fiorentina 0–3 Napoli