Empoli vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 9 Mar, 17:00
Empoli
01 Full time
Roma
Empoli 0–1 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 25%
Away 53%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1393 v 1560 Roma rated higher
Form Index LLLLD v DWWWW Empoli 0.2 · Roma 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Empoli v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1393).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliLLLLD0.2 ppg
RomaDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1393
Roma1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 36% · 48%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning10% · 10% · 81%

AI match preview

Empoli faces a tough challenge at home against Roma, with the model assigning a 53% chance to an away win despite the low expected goals tally of 1.11 for Roma and 0.54 for Empoli. Interestingly, the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw, reflecting a cautious encounter with only a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and 29% probability for both teams to score. These projections suggest Roma holds the edge, but the match could remain tight—remember, these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.54 – 1.11

Most likely score

0-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 23%

Under 77%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Empoli 0–1 Roma
Aug 2024 Roma 1–2 Empoli