Genoa vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Fri 14 Mar, 19:45
Genoa
21 Full time
Lecce
Genoa 2–1 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 30%
Away 22%

💡 Genoa are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1405 Genoa rated higher
Form Index DWLDD v DDLLL Genoa 1.2 · Lecce 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Lecce

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1467 vs 1405).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDWLDD1.2 ppg
LecceDDLLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1467
Lecce1405
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 34% · 21%
Power Rating57% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning42% · 38% · 19%

AI match preview

Genoa hold a 47% chance of securing victory against Lecce in this Serie A clash, with the model suggesting a modest edge for the home side. Despite Genoa's higher expected goals (1.20) compared to Lecce's 0.73, the most probable scoreline is a 0-0 draw, reflecting a potentially tight, low-scoring encounter. With only a 30% probability for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a cautious battle — remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.73

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Genoa 2–1 Lecce
Jan 2025 Lecce 0–0 Genoa