Monza vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 15 Mar, 14:00
Monza
11 Full time
Parma
Monza 1–1 Parma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 29%
Away 40%

💡 Parma have a slight edge — leaning Parma, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1352 v 1411 Parma rated higher
Form Index LDLLL v LLWLD Monza 0.2 · Parma 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Parma

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Why we predict this

  • Parma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1411 vs 1352).
  • Parma is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Parma
Form Index
Parma
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaLDLLL0.2 ppg
ParmaLLWLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1352
Parma1411
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 34% · 34%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning21% · 26% · 53%

AI match preview

Monza and Parma are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 40%, though a draw remains a close possibility. Both teams are projected to score around one goal each, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline and a moderate 43% chance of both teams finding the net. With just a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a cautious encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.04

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Monza 1–1 Parma
Dec 2024 Parma 2–1 Monza