Bologna vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 16 Mar, 14:00
Bologna
50 Full time
Lazio
Bologna 5–0 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 31%
Away 29%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1565 v 1563 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WLWWW v WDDWD Bologna 2.4 · Lazio 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1565 vs 1563).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWLWWW2.4 ppg
LazioWDDWD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1565
Lazio1563
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 29% · 30%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning29% · 40% · 32%

AI match preview

Bologna and Lazio face off in a tightly poised Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 31%. The model forecasts a close contest with an expected goals tally favoring Bologna by a narrow margin (1.42 to 1.19), and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline. With both teams likely to find the net in 54% of scenarios and under 2.5 goals just under half the time, this match promises balanced action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Bologna 5–0 Lazio
Nov 2024 Lazio 3–0 Bologna