Roma vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 16 Mar, 15:00
Roma
10 Full time
Cagliari
Roma 1–0 Cagliari

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 22%
Away 14%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1568 v 1428 Roma rated higher
Form Index WWWWW v WDLLD Roma 3.0 · Cagliari 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Cagliari

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1568 vs 1428).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWWWWW3.0 ppg
CagliariWDLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1568
Cagliari1428
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 22% · 12%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning61% · 31% · 9%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash with a strong 64% chance of securing a home win against Cagliari, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.09 to 0.77. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most probable outcome, with a moderate 55% likelihood of the match exceeding 2.5 goals and a near-even 48% chance both teams will score. These projections offer insight into potential scenarios, but remember to consider them as statistical probabilities and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.09 – 0.77

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Roma 1–0 Cagliari
Aug 2024 Cagliari 0–0 Roma