Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 16 Mar, 17:00
Fiorentina
30 Full time
Juventus
Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 28%
Away 42%

💡 Juventus have a slight edge — leaning Juventus, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1529 v 1600 Juventus rated higher
Form Index LLLWL v WWWWL Fiorentina 0.6 · Juventus 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Juventus

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Juventus is the stronger side on Power Rating (1600 vs 1529).
  • Juventus is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Juventus
Form Index
Juventus
Goal expectation
Juventus
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLLLWL0.6 ppg
JuventusWWWWL2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1529
Juventus1600
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 30% · 42%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning26% · 18% · 56%

AI match preview

Fiorentina hosts Juventus in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 42%, though a draw remains a close possibility at 28%. Both teams are projected to score, with a 51% chance of goals at both ends, and an expected goals tally suggesting a tight contest around a 1-1 scoreline. With just a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals, this game could hinge on a few key moments—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus
Dec 2024 Juventus 2–2 Fiorentina