Lecce vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 29 Mar, 19:45
Lecce
01 Full time
Roma
Lecce 0–1 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 23%
Away 58%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1398 v 1573 Roma rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v WWWWW Lecce 0.2 · Roma 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1573 vs 1398).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceDLLLL0.2 ppg
RomaWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1398
Roma1573
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 32% · 48%
Power Rating29% · 17% · 54%
Machine-learning9% · 7% · 84%

AI match preview

Lecce hosts Roma in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 58% chance of victory, though a draw remains a plausible 23% outcome. The model predicts a tight contest with an expected goals tally favoring Roma slightly (1.34 vs. 0.80), yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With only a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on a single moment; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Lecce 0–1 Roma
Dec 2024 Roma 4–1 Lecce