Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 30 Mar, 15:00
Fiorentina
10 Full time
Atalanta
Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 29%
Away 47%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 51.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1631 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LLWLW v DWDWL Fiorentina 1.2 · Atalanta 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1631 vs 1549).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLLWLW1.2 ppg
AtalantaDWDWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1549
Atalanta1631
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 26% · 55%
Power Rating35% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning12% · 40% · 48%

AI match preview

Fiorentina host Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 47%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. With expected goals at 0.95 for Fiorentina and 1.76 for Atalanta, a tight 1-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome, highlighting a competitive match-up. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score have roughly even chances, so fans can anticipate an engaging contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.76

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta
Sept 2024 Atalanta 3–2 Fiorentina