Lecce vs Venezia Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 6 Apr, 12:30
Lecce
11 Full time
Venezia
Lecce 1–1 Venezia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Lecce have a slight edge — leaning Lecce, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1390 v 1401 Venezia rated higher
Form Index 0 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Venezia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1390 vs 1401).
  • Venezia is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Venezia
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Venezia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLLLLL0 ppg
VeneziaDDDDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1390
Venezia1401
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 33% · 35%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning36% · 26% · 38%

AI match preview

Lecce and Venezia head into this Serie A clash with a closely matched outlook, as the model gives a slight edge to Lecce with a 39% chance of victory, while a draw and Venezia win are also well within reach. Both teams are projected to score around one goal each, supporting the most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a moderate 45% probability for both sides to find the net. With just a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals, expect a competitive and tight encounter, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Lecce 1–1 Venezia
Nov 2024 Venezia 0–1 Lecce